Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1190.490709 1345.706290 1516.045646 1717.269357 1949.010523 2208.146966 2520.720764
2025-12-07 921.990293 1123.294696 1363.584262 1673.260779 2064.237888 2544.675580 3184.691389
2025-12-14 769.212802 984.509250 1256.228632 1627.580718 2126.907053 2782.176376 3718.924844
2025-12-21 658.354039 875.867287 1162.735057 1573.621541 2154.983612 2960.115496 4180.636914
2025-12-28 609.447000 839.521900 1155.272504 1627.328399 2327.386772 3346.844070 4980.345027
2026-01-04 561.208525 796.727245 1131.329903 1650.742837 2453.787228 3676.973460 5737.784120
2026-01-11 518.124603 755.590045 1103.570086 1662.392998 2559.724945 3984.091050 6498.236512
2026-01-18 480.840254 718.563118 1076.910887 1670.625921 2658.048754 4287.016474 7291.504330
2026-01-25 456.304485 698.076487 1072.588737 1712.150787 2812.927204 4699.137414 8333.481750
2026-02-01 431.514882 674.513935 1060.485297 1738.367833 2943.039434 5082.280294 9378.762814
2026-02-08 406.996689 648.949262 1042.283117 1751.380644 3049.892000 5434.784548 10417.705612
2026-02-15 385.968904 627.142783 1027.979275 1768.922460 3165.561256 5815.970052 11572.153200
2026-02-22 368.245432 609.995386 1021.003448 1800.613185 3314.882415 6288.384403 13015.011577
2026-03-01 339.627946 571.822014 974.231991 1754.480409 3309.393066 6453.886299 13823.775362
2026-03-08 313.727504 536.292359 928.996258 1706.294892 3293.327237 6593.737804 14595.738277
2026-03-15 289.164994 501.262625 881.746636 1649.400497 3252.531321 6674.867353 15242.182662
2026-03-22 282.061317 497.397151 891.630679 1706.029186 3455.106298 7313.087358 17367.666968
2026-03-29 271.354273 485.957141 886.135211 1730.721339 3591.614597 7821.355974 19263.639548
2026-04-05 259.976358 472.355655 875.276398 1743.008108 3701.795786 8283.354835 21129.615088
2026-04-12 249.050936 458.795661 863.346363 1751.691252 3804.549357 8741.697786 23079.862222
2026-04-19 242.636852 453.541792 867.503557 1795.491221 3994.304128 9443.063166 25880.597346
2026-04-26 234.939829 445.157735 864.561709 1823.148314 4148.684757 10077.301055 28624.919873
2026-05-03 226.385163 434.426160 855.881772 1836.876926 4270.427802 10643.952309 31290.272728